PAnews.com, Port Arthur, Texas

October 1, 2013

Month comes to soggy end

Sherry Koonce
The Port Arthur News

— September brought an abundance of rainfall to Southeast Texas, and more is expected on the first day of October along with the slight possibility of hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico.

As of midnight Sunday, a little more than 7 inches was recorded at the Jack Brooks Regional Airport in Nederland. The number could measure as high as 8 inches by month’s end, National Weather Service meteorologist Jonathan Brazzell said.

Rain fell much of Monday, and more expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Precipitation is expected to move out of the area by Thursday, making way for a cold front to come through this weekend.

Brazzell said precipitation is normal for this time of year.

“This is mainly due to an almost stationary front with gulf moisture moving up and over the top of the front,” Brazzell said.

By Saturday, temperatures will cool considerably, with lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Highs will be in the 80s.

While the Weather Service is watching rain with the possibility of issuing a flood warning in low-lying areas, NWS forecasters are also looking south.

The NWS is monitoring a weak broad low pressure area in the Caribbean Sea that is expected to move northwest and reach the Gulf of Mexico by Thursday or Friday.

The system has a 10 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a 30 percent during the next five days.

If the strong cold front develops as forecast, it should push the low pressure area away from the Southeast Texas coastal region.

“Timing is critical in this forecast,” Roger Erickson, Lake Charles NWS warning coordination meteorologist, said. “If the cold front slows down or stalls, the low pressure area could be near the Louisiana coast this weekend.”

September’s rainfall brings the year-to-date total to 42.31 inches, which is 2.72 inches below the normal  annual 45.03 inches.

E-mail: skoonce@panews.com

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